By Mannava V.K. Sivakumar (Editor), James Hansen (Editor)
According to a global Workshop held in Geneva in 2005, this publication studies the advances made up to now in seasonal weather predictions and their functions for administration and decision-making in agriculture. It additionally identifies the demanding situations to be addressed within the subsequent five to ten years to additional improve operational purposes of weather predictions in agriculture, specifically in constructing international locations.
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Extra resources for Climate Prediction and Agriculture: Advances and Challenges
K. Sivakumar · J. Hansen Risk communication research indicates that people’s grasp of probability is often imperfect, as personal experience and communication practices can lead to cognitive biases. Yet interactive exercises during fieldwork and workshops have shown that farmers’ ability to interpret probability and use forecasts in decision-making can improve with interaction and experience (Patt 2001). Field research has also shown that farmers’ expectations and assessments of accuracy may differ for traditional and scientific forecasts (Nelson and Finan 2000).
Soc Natur Resour 15:411–430 Roncoli C, Ingram K, Kirshen P, Jost C (2004) Meteorological meanings: understandings of seasonal rainfall forecasts by farmers of Burkina Faso. In: Strauss S, Orlove B (eds) Weather, climate and culture. Berg, Oxford, pp 181–202 Rubas DJ, Hill HSJ, Mjelde JW (2006) Economics and climate applications: exploring the frontier. Climate Res 33(1):43–54 Sivakumar MVK (ed) (2000) Climate prediction and agriculture. International START Secretariat, Washington DC, USA (Proceedings of the START/WMO International Workshop held in Geneva, Switzerland, 27–29 September 1999) Sivakumar MVK (2006) Climate prediction and agriculture: current status and future challenges.
Rome, Italy: CGIAR Technical Advisory Committee Secretariat, FAO. Meinke H, Nelson R, Stone R, Selvaraju, R, Baethgen, W (2006) Actionable climate knowledge – from analysis to synthesis. Climate Res 33(1):101–110 Msangi S, Rosegrant MW, You L (2006) Advancing ex-post assessment methods of climate forecast impacts. Climate Res 33(1):67–79 Nelson DR, Finan TJ (2000) The emergence of a climate anthropology in northeast Brazil. Practicing Anthropology 22:6–10 Orlove BS (2004) How people name seasons.